Colress's Experiment
| ebay.fr | n=2 | €6,25 | +93% |
| ebay.es | n=28 | €4,39 | +36% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=28 | €4,37 | +35% |
| ebay.de | n=14 | €3,54 | +9% |
| ebay.com | n=27 | €3,29 | +2% |
| ebay.nl | n=2 | €3,24 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 31 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 32 | 34 d | €3,62 | 261.22 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8554 (Sprach-Faktor aus 151 Karten) | 6 | 22 d | €3,51 | 9.31 |
| es roh NM × 0.8298 (Sprach-Faktor aus 122 Karten) | 13 | 2 mo | €4,71 | 6.8 |
| de roh NM × 1.0079 (Sprach-Faktor aus 85 Karten) | 3 | 56 d | €3,12 | 4.9 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +13% nachgeführt | 3 | 56 d | €3,35 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9922 (Sprach-Faktor aus 85 Karten) | 32 | 34 d | €3,59 | 5.57 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8758 (Sprach-Faktor aus 84 Karten) | 6 | 22 d | €3,59 | 5.06 |
| es roh NM × 0.8031 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 13 | 2 mo | €4,94 | 3.35 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2648 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) | 32 | 34 d | €4,58 | 5.84 |
| es roh NM × 1.143 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 13 | 2 mo | €6,49 | 5.26 |
| de roh NM × 1.3013 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 3 | 56 d | €4,03 | 3.53 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.1317 (Sprach-Faktor aus 46 Karten) | 6 | 22 d | €4,64 | 3.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| es roh NM × 1.1008 (Sprach-Faktor aus 34 Karten) | 13 | 2 mo | €6,25 | 12.9 |
| en roh NM × 1.1513 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 32 | 34 d | €4,17 | 12.85 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.037 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 6 | 22 d | €4,25 | 6.7 |
| de roh NM × 1.0831 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 3 | 56 d | €3,35 | 4.43 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €25,26, raw the card sits at €3,63 — 7,0× as much. Of 375 copies already graded, 44 % received a 10 and 38 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €25,71 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196?
Across 15 auctions the median was €2,31, across 65 fixed-price sales €4,37. Fixed price therefore fetched about 89 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €3,37 and €5,17, with a median of €4,18. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 205/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €2,30. Offers well below €1,38 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·