Colress's Experiment
| ebay.nl | n=3 | €5,22 | +129% |
| ebay.fr | n=2 | €4,32 | +89% |
| ebay.es | n=44 | €3,13 | +37% |
| ebay.de | n=38 | €3,12 | +37% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=10 | €3,12 | +37% |
| ebay.com | n=29 | €2,28 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 24 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 68 | 28 d | €3,13 | 555.1 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9291 | 3 | 2 mo | €3,37 | 8.68 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.7709 | 3 | 2 mo | €8,15 | 2.27 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.7598 | 4 | 45 d | €4,33 | 0.29 |
| de roh NM × 1.0369 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | €1,94 | 4.79 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +14% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | €2,04 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9644 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) | 68 | 28 d | €3,02 | 5.69 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2535 (Sprach-Faktor aus 46 Karten) | 68 | 28 d | €3,92 | 5.64 |
| de roh NM × 1.2111 (Sprach-Faktor aus 41 Karten) · Set +12% nachgeführt | 3 | 3 mo | €2,44 | 3.05 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1266 (Sprach-Faktor aus 53 Karten) | 68 | 28 d | €3,53 | 10.89 |
| de roh NM × 1.0827 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 3 | 3 mo | €2,03 | 3.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €28,25, raw the card sits at €2,29 — 12,3× as much. Of 472 copies already graded, 47 % received a 10 and 38 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €21,03 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196?
Across 23 auctions the median was €1,36, across 81 fixed-price sales €3,13. Fixed price therefore fetched about 130 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €2,09 and €3,66, with a median of €3,00. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Colress's Experiment Lost Origin 190/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €1,34. Offers well below €0,80 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#120 ·
#GG59 ·