Lillie's Determination

Ascended Heroes · 192/217 ·Uncommon

Illustration: Atsushi Furusawa → All Poké Ball cards →

Poké Ball €1,85 94 sales Normal €1,53 76 sales

Market price

€1,53

How is this value calculated?

Ladder estimate · English · ~€1,53 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe	23	22 d	€1,49	187.76
eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9952	3	23 d	€1,83	8.94
fr roh NM × 0.8687 (Sprach-Faktor aus 130 Karten)	7	33 d	€1,53	14.3
unknown roh NM × 0.9045 (Sprach-Faktor aus 121 Karten) · Set -11% nachgeführt	10	52 d	€1,96	9.55

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = €1,53 · Σ g = 220.55

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %

Ladder estimate · Deutsch · ~€1,56 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
unknown roh NM × 0.8461 (Sprach-Faktor aus 108 Karten)	10	52 d	€1,98	5.75
fr roh NM × 0.7745 (Sprach-Faktor aus 122 Karten)	7	33 d	€1,36	4.9
en roh NM × 0.8274 (Sprach-Faktor aus 148 Karten)	23	22 d	€1,23	3.17

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = €1,56 · Σ g = 13.82

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %

Ladder estimate · Français · ~€1,82 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe	7	33 d	€1,76	57.14
en roh NM × 1.1511 (Sprach-Faktor aus 130 Karten)	23	22 d	€1,72	16.14
unknown roh NM × 1.0841 (Sprach-Faktor aus 103 Karten)	10	52 d	€2,54	8.16

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = €1,82 · Σ g = 81.44

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %

Ladder estimate · Italiano · ~€1,76 gruen

Evidence path	Sales	Age	Value vᵢ	Weight gᵢ
en roh NM × 1.0374 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten)	23	22 d	€1,55	8.51
unknown roh NM × 0.9219 (Sprach-Faktor aus 83 Karten)	10	52 d	€2,16	7.86
fr roh NM × 0.9034 (Sprach-Faktor aus 91 Karten)	7	33 d	€1,59	5.22

value = exp( Σ gᵢ·ln vᵢ ⁄ Σ gᵢ ) = €1,76 · Σ g = 21.59

Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %

PSA Population

No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.

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FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Is the English or the German Lillie's Determination Ascended Heroes 192/217 worth more?

From real sales: French €2,07 (24), English €1,85 (55). French fetches about 12 % more.

How does lastsold determine the market value?

lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.