Lillie's Determination
| ebay.nl | n=30 | €20,93 | +25% |
| ebay.es | n=30 | €20,92 | +25% |
| ebay.fr | n=72 | €19,00 | +13% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=51 | €18,68 | +12% |
| ebay.de | n=138 | €17,50 | +5% |
| ebay.com | n=251 | €17,09 | +2% |
| ebay.it | n=4 | €16,74 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 125 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 177 | 19 d | €18,73 | 1444.9 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.916 | 4 | 22 d | €23,38 | 7.79 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.3474 | 24 | 23 d | €14,35 | 0.61 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 5.2974 | 39 | 20 d | €10,00 | 0.1 |
| it roh NM × 0.956 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 4 | 2 mo | €17,99 | 11.46 |
| de roh NM × 1.0867 (Sprach-Faktor aus 87 Karten) | 75 | 53 d | €19,55 | 4.75 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7295 (Sprach-Faktor aus 71 Karten) | 13 | 39 d | €8,00 | 4.25 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 75 | 53 d | €17,99 | 612.24 |
| en roh NM × 0.9202 (Sprach-Faktor aus 87 Karten) | 177 | 19 d | €17,23 | 3.9 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7382 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) | 13 | 39 d | €8,10 | 3.75 |
| it roh NM × 0.9316 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 4 | 2 mo | €17,53 | 3.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 13 | 39 d | €10,97 | 106.12 |
| en roh NM × 1.3709 (Sprach-Faktor aus 71 Karten) | 177 | 19 d | €25,67 | 4.51 |
| de roh NM × 1.3552 (Sprach-Faktor aus 70 Karten) | 75 | 53 d | €24,38 | 4.14 |
| it roh NM × 1.2582 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 4 | 2 mo | €23,68 | 2.86 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 4 | 2 mo | €18,82 | 32.65 |
| en roh NM × 1.0461 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 177 | 19 d | €19,59 | 17.44 |
| de roh NM × 1.0734 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 75 | 53 d | €19,31 | 5.81 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7948 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) | 13 | 39 d | €8,72 | 3.03 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±15 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €50,83, raw the card sits at €17,66 — 2,9× as much. Of 7.128 copies already graded, 50 % received a 10 and 37 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €34,93 on average, before fees and shipping. So submitting only pays off if the card truly hits a 10 — at any lower grade little remains after fees. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132?
Across 139 auctions the median was €15,77, across 274 fixed-price sales €18,38. Fixed price therefore fetched about 17 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €15,62 and €20,00, with a median of €17,55. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €13,00. Offers well below €7,80 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Lillie's Determination Mega Evolution 169/132 worth more?
From real sales: French €20,81 (64), English €17,43 (298), German €15,56 (61). French fetches about 34 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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