Lillipup
| ebay.es | n=38 | €30,00 | +173% |
| ebay.com | n=162 | €27,42 | +149% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=73 | €26,00 | +136% |
| ebay.de | n=37 | €18,99 | +73% |
| ebay.fr | n=11 | €11,00 | — |
この価格の計算方法
| 根拠 | 件数 | 経過 | 値 vᵢ | 重み gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 13 | 30 日 | €29,99 | 106.12 |
| en roh NM × 0.9147 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) | 81 | 31 日 | €27,33 | 11.76 |
| es roh NM × 0.8611 (Sprach-Faktor aus 85 Karten) · Set +33% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 ヶ月 | €39,07 | 7.25 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.9677 (Sprach-Faktor aus 87 Karten) · Set +33% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 ヶ月 | €22,37 | 6.97 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8867 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 7 | 43 日 | €10,55 | 4.8 |
実測誤差(時代×言語のバックテスト): ±19 %
| 根拠 | 件数 | 経過 | 値 vᵢ | 重み gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 81 | 31 日 | €29,88 | 661.22 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.7753 · Set +19% nachgeführt | 4 | 3 ヶ月 | €24,04 | 6.19 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.2139 · Set +19% nachgeführt | 18 | 2 ヶ月 | €48,16 | 2.29 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.0348 · Set +19% nachgeführt | 6 | 2 ヶ月 | €27,37 | 0.18 |
| es roh NM × 0.9411 (Sprach-Faktor aus 90 Karten) · Set +19% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 ヶ月 | €39,62 | 18.41 |
| de roh NM × 1.0932 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) | 13 | 30 日 | €32,79 | 9.59 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.0869 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) · Set +19% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 ヶ月 | €23,31 | 7.29 |
| fr roh NM × 1.0028 (Sprach-Faktor aus 59 Karten) | 7 | 43 日 | €11,93 | 2.0 |
実測誤差(時代×言語のバックテスト): ±16 %
| 根拠 | 件数 | 経過 | 値 vᵢ | 重み gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 7 | 43 日 | €11,90 | 57.14 |
| de roh NM × 1.1278 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 13 | 30 日 | €33,83 | 4.68 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.0382 (Sprach-Faktor aus 55 Karten) · Set -13% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 ヶ月 | €18,17 | 3.14 |
| en roh NM × 0.9972 (Sprach-Faktor aus 59 Karten) | 81 | 31 日 | €29,80 | 2.21 |
| es roh NM × 0.9285 (Sprach-Faktor aus 54 Karten) · Set -13% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 ヶ月 | €31,89 | 1.93 |
実測誤差(時代×言語のバックテスト): ±25 %
ゲートが緑でないため価格としては表示されません。
| 根拠 | 件数 | 経過 | 値 vᵢ | 重み gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| es roh NM × 1.0081 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) · Set +27% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 ヶ月 | €44,27 | 13.29 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.1236 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) · Set +27% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 ヶ月 | €25,14 | 8.16 |
| en roh NM × 1.0443 (Sprach-Faktor aus 53 Karten) | 81 | 31 日 | €31,21 | 7.19 |
| de roh NM × 1.131 (Sprach-Faktor aus 52 Karten) | 13 | 30 日 | €33,92 | 3.37 |
| fr roh NM × 1.0302 (Sprach-Faktor aus 34 Karten) | 7 | 43 日 | €12,26 | 3.24 |
実測誤差(時代×言語のバックテスト): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Lillipup White Flare 154/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €242,55, raw the card sits at €6,00 — 40,4× as much. Of 757 copies already graded, 23 % received a 10 and 61 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €93,31 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Lillipup White Flare 154/86?
Across 60 auctions the median was €22,63, across 184 fixed-price sales €26,20. Fixed price therefore fetched about 16 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Lillipup White Flare 154/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €20,50 and €30,19, with a median of €26,04. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Lillipup White Flare 154/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €15,51. Offers well below €9,31 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Lillipup White Flare 154/86 worth more?
From real sales: German €28,36 (18), English €27,90 (231), French €11,00 (11). German fetches about 158 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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