How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 49 d | €341,35 | 16.33 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9132 | 2 | 27 d | €127,31 | 8.0 |
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.1571 × 0.8135 | 3 | 2 mo | €26,79 | 0.62 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 49 d | €57,45 | 16.33 |
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.1571 × 0.7457 | 3 | 2 mo | €24,56 | 0.5 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.1571 × 1.0593 · Set +21% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €39,48 | 0.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| es PSA9 ÷ 2.1571 × 0.9991 · Set -17% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €29,23 | 0.56 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Paradise Resort SVP Black Star Promos 045/225?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €965,39, raw the card sits at €341,35 — 2,8× as much. Of 472 copies already graded, 34 % received a 10 and 49 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €447,47 on average, before fees and shipping. So submitting only pays off if the card truly hits a 10 — at any lower grade little remains after fees. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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