Chien-Pao ex
| ebay.co.uk | n=17 | €4,57 | +44% |
| ebay.es | n=49 | €4,18 | +32% |
| ebay.de | n=41 | €4,13 | +30% |
| ebay.it | n=3 | €4,12 | +30% |
| ebay.fr | n=3 | €3,50 | +10% |
| ebay.com | n=46 | €3,17 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 30 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 30 | 36 d | €3,45 | 244.9 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.902 · Set +11% nachgeführt | 3 | 47 d | €5,65 | 10.72 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.4014 | 4 | 37 d | €10,48 | 7.09 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.5194 | 2 | 26 d | €4,22 | 0.44 |
| es roh NM × 0.827 (Sprach-Faktor aus 120 Karten) · Set +11% nachgeführt | 5 | 57 d | €4,53 | 17.35 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8414 (Sprach-Faktor aus 156 Karten) | 20 | 16 d | €3,53 | 15.81 |
| de roh NM × 1.2786 (Sprach-Faktor aus 106 Karten) · Set +11% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €2,64 | 3.08 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +12% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €2,08 | 57.14 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.6791 (Sprach-Faktor aus 105 Karten) | 20 | 16 d | €2,85 | 2.63 |
| en roh NM × 0.7821 (Sprach-Faktor aus 106 Karten) | 30 | 36 d | €2,70 | 2.49 |
| es roh NM × 0.6303 (Sprach-Faktor aus 98 Karten) · Set +12% nachgeführt | 5 | 57 d | €3,48 | 2.34 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set -12% nachgeführt | 2 | 2 mo | €3,09 | 16.33 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8761 (Sprach-Faktor aus 53 Karten) | 20 | 16 d | €3,68 | 4.57 |
| en roh NM × 0.9888 (Sprach-Faktor aus 53 Karten) | 30 | 36 d | €3,41 | 4.2 |
| es roh NM × 0.839 (Sprach-Faktor aus 50 Karten) · Set -12% nachgeführt | 5 | 57 d | €3,98 | 3.85 |
| de roh NM × 1.2948 (Sprach-Faktor aus 48 Karten) · Set -12% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €2,32 | 2.36 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0708 (Sprach-Faktor aus 67 Karten) | 30 | 36 d | €3,70 | 11.19 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.9834 (Sprach-Faktor aus 67 Karten) | 20 | 16 d | €4,13 | 9.16 |
| es roh NM × 0.8974 (Sprach-Faktor aus 63 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 5 | 57 d | €4,99 | 6.03 |
| de roh NM × 1.28 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €2,69 | 3.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved 236/193?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €31,75, raw the card sits at €3,50 — 9,1× as much. Of 619 copies already graded, 54 % received a 10 and 35 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €23,09 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved 236/193?
Across 29 auctions the median was €2,50, across 74 fixed-price sales €4,18. Fixed price therefore fetched about 67 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved 236/193 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €3,12 and €4,69, with a median of €3,66. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Chien-Pao ex Paldea Evolved 236/193 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €2,36. Offers well below €1,42 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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