Poppy
| ebay.co.uk | n=6 | €3,05 | +67% |
| ebay.it | n=21 | €3,01 | +65% |
| ebay.fr | n=23 | €3,00 | +64% |
| ebay.es | n=33 | €2,60 | +42% |
| ebay.nl | n=13 | €2,29 | +25% |
| ebay.de | n=114 | €2,08 | +14% |
| ebay.com | n=86 | €1,83 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 50 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 139 | 24 d | €2,32 | 1134.69 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9407 | 9 | 49 d | €2,20 | 11.01 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.8564 | 3 | 34 d | €4,04 | 1.65 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 12.2996 | 2 | 55 d | €3,68 | 0.48 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.8976 (Sprach-Faktor aus 47 Karten) | 3 | 52 d | €2,56 | 9.13 |
| fr roh NM × 0.8156 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | €2,70 | 4.49 |
| de roh NM × 1.103 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) | 13 | 46 d | €2,21 | 3.75 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +13% nachgeführt | 13 | 46 d | €2,17 | 106.12 |
| en roh NM × 0.9067 (Sprach-Faktor aus 64 Karten) | 139 | 24 d | €2,10 | 3.63 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.9236 (Sprach-Faktor aus 36 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 3 | 52 d | €2,86 | 3.41 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7676 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €2,75 | 1.59 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +20% nachgeführt | 7 | 2 mo | €3,73 | 57.14 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.2463 (Sprach-Faktor aus 29 Karten) · Set +20% nachgeführt | 3 | 52 d | €4,01 | 9.0 |
| en roh NM × 1.2261 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 139 | 24 d | €2,84 | 4.63 |
| de roh NM × 1.3028 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) · Set +20% nachgeführt | 13 | 46 d | €2,94 | 1.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 2 | 59 d | €2,19 | 16.33 |
| en roh NM × 1.0691 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 139 | 24 d | €2,48 | 23.53 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.0693 (Sprach-Faktor aus 24 Karten) | 3 | 52 d | €3,05 | 6.92 |
| fr roh NM × 0.9546 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 7 | 2 mo | €3,16 | 6.09 |
| de roh NM × 1.2046 (Sprach-Faktor aus 30 Karten) | 13 | 46 d | €2,42 | 2.98 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €39,47, raw the card sits at €1,97 — 20,0× as much. Of 1.005 copies already graded, 25 % received a 10 and 46 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €15,79 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197?
Across 30 auctions the median was €1,48, across 83 fixed-price sales €2,49. Fixed price therefore fetched about 68 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €1,57 and €3,09, with a median of €2,09. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €1,00. Offers well below €0,60 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
Is the English or the German Poppy Obsidian Flames 220/197 worth more?
From real sales: French €3,34 (22), Italian €3,12 (20), German €2,00 (16). French fetches about 87 % more.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.