Opal
| ebay.fr | n=6 | €9,00 | +256% |
| ebay.de | n=7 | €5,58 | +121% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=39 | €3,83 | +51% |
| ebay.com | n=134 | €2,53 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 100 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 103 | 28 d | €2,63 | 840.82 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.9214 | 5 | 2 mo | €2,49 | 9.53 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.0462 | 4 | 49 d | €6,99 | 9.17 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 7.91 | 4 | 46 d | €6,61 | 0.27 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7908 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 3 | 2 mo | €7,14 | 2.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +13% nachgeführt | 2 | 4 mo | €6,00 | 16.33 |
| en roh NM × 0.976 (Sprach-Faktor aus 93 Karten) | 103 | 28 d | €2,56 | 6.46 |
| fr roh NM × 0.7814 (Sprach-Faktor aus 38 Karten) · Set +13% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €7,66 | 4.82 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +12% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €9,73 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 1.2646 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 103 | 28 d | €3,32 | 2.9 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1055 (Sprach-Faktor aus 45 Karten) | 103 | 28 d | €2,90 | 12.39 |
| fr roh NM × 1.002 (Sprach-Faktor aus 21 Karten) · Set +20% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €10,20 | 2.86 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Opal Lost Origin TG28/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €52,25, raw the card sits at €2,78 — 18,8× as much. Of 461 copies already graded, 45 % received a 10 and 40 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €42,41 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196?
Across 13 auctions the median was €1,72, across 151 fixed-price sales €2,82. Fixed price therefore fetched about 64 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €2,19 and €3,71, with a median of €2,62. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Opal Lost Origin TG28/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €1,72. Offers well below €1,03 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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