| ebay.co.uk | n=7 | €4,04 | +127% |
| ebay.es | n=36 | €2,92 | +64% |
| ebay.de | n=7 | €2,41 | +35% |
| ebay.com | n=48 | €1,78 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 39 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 39 | 24 d | €1,86 | 318.37 |
| es roh NM × 0.869 (Sprach-Faktor aus 56 Karten) | 16 | 2 mo | €2,27 | 13.47 |
| de roh NM × 1.0388 (Sprach-Faktor aus 91 Karten) | 3 | 37 d | €1,47 | 4.79 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 3 | 37 d | €1,42 | 24.49 |
| en roh NM × 0.9626 (Sprach-Faktor aus 91 Karten) | 39 | 24 d | €1,79 | 5.65 |
| es roh NM × 0.8605 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) · Set +15% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 mo | €2,46 | 4.78 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2535 (Sprach-Faktor aus 44 Karten) | 39 | 24 d | €2,33 | 4.37 |
| de roh NM × 1.2452 (Sprach-Faktor aus 40 Karten) | 3 | 37 d | €1,77 | 3.22 |
| es roh NM × 1.1882 (Sprach-Faktor aus 19 Karten) · Set +12% nachgeführt | 16 | 2 mo | €3,35 | 2.93 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1055 (Sprach-Faktor aus 51 Karten) | 39 | 24 d | €2,06 | 11.39 |
| es roh NM × 1.1069 (Sprach-Faktor aus 28 Karten) | 16 | 2 mo | €2,89 | 8.53 |
| de roh NM × 1.0827 (Sprach-Faktor aus 42 Karten) | 3 | 37 d | €1,54 | 3.41 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
#210 · SEC
#167 · U
#186 · UR
#180 · UR
#TG16 · UR
#TG17 · UR
#TG06 · HR
#TG05 · HR
#TG03 · HR
#177 · UR
#TG30 · SEC
#201 · SEC
#184 · UR
#TG10 · HRFrequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Thorton Lost Origin 195/196?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €25,48, raw the card sits at €1,86 — 13,7× as much. Mathematically, submitting returns €25,48 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Thorton Lost Origin 195/196?
Across 13 auctions the median was €1,42, across 66 fixed-price sales €2,34. Fixed price therefore fetched about 65 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Thorton Lost Origin 195/196 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €1,71 and €3,13, with a median of €2,33. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Thorton Lost Origin 195/196 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €1,23. Offers well below €0,74 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.