Karen's Conviction
| ebay.nl | n=2 | €16,22 | +32% |
| ebay.es | n=32 | €15,71 | +28% |
| ebay.de | n=14 | €15,59 | +27% |
| ebay.it | n=5 | €14,93 | +22% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=26 | €12,97 | +6% |
| ebay.com | n=53 | €12,27 | — |
How is this value calculated?
Recency-weighted trimmed median of 25 NM sales (RAW; outliers trimmed against the median, newer sales weigh more, dynamic half-life).
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 40 | 26 d | €14,74 | 326.53 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.0732 | 2 | 48 d | €38,87 | 6.24 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 1.0059 | 4 | 48 d | €13,38 | 3.8 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 3.8617 | 5 | 54 d | €13,53 | 0.31 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.1834 (Sprach-Faktor aus 26 Karten) | 40 | 26 d | €17,45 | 3.0 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±22 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.2931 (Sprach-Faktor aus 234 Karten) | 40 | 26 d | €19,06 | 4.34 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±20 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| en roh NM × 1.0596 (Sprach-Faktor aus 18 Karten) | 40 | 26 d | €15,62 | 19.43 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±18 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €40,84, raw the card sits at €13,13 — 3,1× as much. Of 163 copies already graded, 49 % received a 10 and 34 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €36,50 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198?
Across 29 auctions the median was €8,60, across 84 fixed-price sales €13,87. Fixed price therefore fetched about 61 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €11,36 and €15,68, with a median of €13,62. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Karen's Conviction Chilling Reign 193/198 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €8,06. Offers well below €4,84 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
#211 ·