Conkeldurr
| ebay.de | n=23 | €27,01 | +31% |
| ebay.co.uk | n=54 | €26,75 | +30% |
| ebay.es | n=44 | €25,95 | +26% |
| ebay.it | n=10 | €24,58 | +19% |
| ebay.com | n=152 | €20,61 | — |
How is this value calculated?
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 84 | 30 d | €32,19 | 685.71 |
| eigene LP-Verkäufe ÷ 0.8836 · Set +22% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €26,80 | 14.7 |
| eigene PSA8-Verkäufe ÷ 0.7654 · Set +22% nachgeführt | 3 | 57 d | €41,73 | 2.49 |
| eigene PSA9-Verkäufe ÷ 1.2577 · Set +22% nachgeführt | 9 | 2 mo | €23,74 | 1.83 |
| eigene PSA10-Verkäufe ÷ 10.6965 · Set +22% nachgeführt | 5 | 3 mo | €34,85 | 0.17 |
| es roh NM × 0.9978 (Sprach-Faktor aus 88 Karten) · Set +22% nachgeführt | 15 | 2 mo | €29,75 | 22.02 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.0643 (Sprach-Faktor aus 92 Karten) · Set +22% nachgeführt | 5 | 55 d | €17,87 | 8.83 |
| de roh NM × 1.1217 (Sprach-Faktor aus 94 Karten) | 11 | 31 d | €38,12 | 4.38 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±16 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe | 11 | 31 d | €33,98 | 89.8 |
| en roh NM × 0.8916 (Sprach-Faktor aus 94 Karten) | 84 | 30 d | €28,70 | 5.06 |
| unknown roh NM × 0.9197 (Sprach-Faktor aus 88 Karten) · Set +32% nachgeführt | 5 | 55 d | €16,32 | 4.74 |
| es roh NM × 0.8724 (Sprach-Faktor aus 86 Karten) · Set +32% nachgeführt | 15 | 2 mo | €27,49 | 4.53 |
| it roh NM × 0.8654 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) · Set +32% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €31,25 | 2.34 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±19 %
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| de roh NM × 1.1748 (Sprach-Faktor aus 61 Karten) | 11 | 31 d | €39,92 | 5.15 |
| es roh NM × 0.9504 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) · Set +27% nachgeführt | 15 | 2 mo | €29,23 | 4.11 |
| en roh NM × 0.9683 (Sprach-Faktor aus 61 Karten) | 84 | 30 d | €31,17 | 3.72 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.0806 (Sprach-Faktor aus 58 Karten) · Set +27% nachgeführt | 5 | 55 d | €18,71 | 2.66 |
| it roh NM × 1.0015 (Sprach-Faktor aus 43 Karten) · Set +27% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €35,29 | 2.64 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±25 %
Gate not green — shown only here, never as the price.
| Evidence path | Sales | Age | Value vᵢ | Weight gᵢ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| eigene rohe NM-Verkäufe · Set +47% nachgeführt | 3 | 2 mo | €39,11 | 24.49 |
| es roh NM × 1.0207 (Sprach-Faktor aus 63 Karten) · Set +47% nachgeführt | 15 | 2 mo | €34,84 | 8.08 |
| en roh NM × 1.0744 (Sprach-Faktor aus 68 Karten) | 84 | 30 d | €34,58 | 7.67 |
| unknown roh NM × 1.1582 (Sprach-Faktor aus 62 Karten) · Set +47% nachgeführt | 5 | 55 d | €22,26 | 2.73 |
| de roh NM × 1.1555 (Sprach-Faktor aus 66 Karten) | 11 | 31 d | €39,27 | 2.32 |
Measured error for this era×language (backtest): ±17 %
No PSA numbers for this print yet — in any language.
Frequently asked questions
Is it worth grading Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86?
A PSA 10 currently sells for about €327,34, raw the card sits at €32,23 — 10,2× as much. Of 323 copies already graded, 15 % received a 10 and 62 % a 9. Mathematically, submitting returns €71,13 on average, before fees and shipping. Rule of thumb: submit when the value at a realistic grade is at least double the raw value — which is the case here. Centering decides it: an off-centre card will not get a 10. The grade distribution comes from the PSA Population Report; people pre-sort before submitting, so your own hit rate may differ.
Auction or Buy It Now — which gets more for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86?
Across 68 auctions the median was €19,83, across 194 fixed-price sales €23,79. Fixed price therefore fetched about 20 % more — for this card patience with a set price is the better route.
What will I get for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86 if I want to sell quickly?
Half of all sales fell between €18,38 and €30,12, with a median of €22,81. Selling fast lands you nearer the lower end; with patience, good photos and a complete title the upper end is achievable.
Below which price is an offer for Conkeldurr Black Bolt 127/86 unrealistic?
The cheapest genuine sales were around €16,22. Offers well below €9,73 are typically fakes, mislabelled cards or a different variant — ask for photos of all four borders and a close-up of the surface.
How does lastsold determine the market value?
lastsold uses only real sales — eBay plus auction houses like Goldin & Fanatics — recent sales count more (recency weighting), outliers and fakes are removed. It's not an estimate but actual sold prices, separated by condition, language and grading.
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